From the President

February 8, 2011

Economic Forum President Rebel Cook with Russell Greene, CEO of Grand Bank (left) and speaker Charles White of Stern, Agee

From the President:

If you missed the opening of 2011 Economic Forum meetings, you missed one of the best
programs presented by the Economic Forum – also one of the highest in attendees. Our
speaker, Charles White from Stern Agee, presented a concise and thoughtful analysis
to the current economic conditions and what to anticipate for the year – assuming no
dramatic events.

Special thanks to our longtime Corporate member, Russell Greene, CEO and President
of Grand Bank, who recommended and arranged for Mr. White to speak. Thanks also to
Russell who arranged for a repeat visit from the Leadership Class of the West Palm
Chamber.

Rebel Cook

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Presentation Slides: There IS a Light at the End of the Tunnel, But it’s Around the Bend

January 22, 2011
Charles R. White, Executive Managing Director at Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc., has generously shared the slides for his presentation:  There IS a Light at the End of the Tunnel, But it’s Around the Bend
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Property appraiser: Market values hitting bottom (Palm Beach Post)

August 27, 2010

Our August 2010 luncheon featuring Property Appraiser Gary Nikolits was featured in this report by the Palm Beach Post:

Property appraiser: Market values hitting bottom
pbcassessor_0007trim
By Jeff Ostrowski

WEST PALM BEACH — The plunge in Palm Beach County real estate values has slowed from free-fall to gradual downturn, Property Appraiser Gary Nikolits said Wednesday. Next year’s rate of decline likely will be about half this year’s 12.5 percent drop, Nikolits said.

The market value of the county’s 628,000 properties fell from $179.9 billion in 2009 to $157.4 billion in 2010. Property values peaked at $233 billion in 2006.

“We have pretty much hit the bottom of the market in many areas of the county,” Nikolits said during a speech to members of the Economic Forum of Palm Beach County.

Read more (PDF)

Presentation slides: PDF

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Oil Spill Dissipates, But Perceptions Linger

August 19, 2010

Protecting the Beaches and Warding Off “Economic Topkill”

Attorney John L. Fiveash Jr. and Escambia County's Taylor “Chips” Kirschenfeld

Attorney John L. Fiveash Jr. and Escambia County's Taylor “Chips” Kirschenfeld

By David F. Carr, webmaster

The worst environmental impact of the oil spill on Florida may be over, but the economic impact on the state will remain until perceptions of the problem change, emissaries from Northwest Florida told the Economic Forum of Palm Beach County at its July meeting.

John L. Fiveash Jr., an attorney Lewis Longman & Walker P.A. who represents the City of Pensacola and the Port of Pensacola, and Taylor “Chips” Kirschenfeld, Senior Environmental Programs Manager for Escambia County, were joined by phone by Edward Overton, professor emeritus at the Louisiana State University School of Environmental Sciences. The event came on the 100th day after the explosion at the Deepwater Horizon oil rig operated by British Petroleum.

Read on for the full story and photos from the event.

(more…)

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Palm Beach Post: Bank sues Abacoa for $14 million

June 2, 2010

The Post quoted Rebel Cook on the concept that Abacoa Town Center would be a pedestrian friendly place for people to live, work, and play, following a concept called New Urbanism.

“It was based on a concept that if you put all the shopping in the middle of a residential community, everybody would walk to the town center,” said Rebel Cook, of Rebel Cook Real Estate of Jupiter. …  “That concept looked great on paper,” Cook said, “but in reality it doesn’t work, particularly in South Florida. It’s too hot (for people to walk).” Cook says Abacoa Town Center also suffers from the lack of an anchor store, such as a grocery store.

Read More: Bank Sues Abacoa (pdf)

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Wells Fargo Economist Mark Vitner (Video)

May 20, 2010

Highlights from a talk by Wells Fargo Economist Mark Vitner, May 20, 2010

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Concord Coalition Warns of Sobering Milestones on the Federal Budget

April 22, 2010
Phil Smith, National Political Director of the Concord Coalition

Phil Smith, National Political Director of the Concord Coalition, answers questions following his talk

For years, deficit hawks have complained that the federal government was papering over the difference between revenues and spending by dipping into the Social Security “trust fund” – the difference between retirement taxes collected and money paid out.

According to Phil Smith, National Political Director of the Concord Coalition, that cash cushion is in any case going away. “We’re entering cash deficit territory for Social Security,” Smith said, speaking at the April 20 meeting of the Economic Forum of Palm Beach County.

Although this day has been predicted for years, the previous official projection was that Social Security spending would exceed revenues for the first time in 2016. But when updated figures are published by the Social Security trustees, probably in June, Smith expects them to show that milestone has already been reached. (more…)

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Palm Beach Post: NYU professor tells Palm Beach County forum that the commercial real estate market scare is overblown

March 25, 2010

While many experts predict a pending commercial real estate crash that could devastate the tax base and further threaten bank stability, economist Hugh Kelly said reports of an apocalypse are overrated.

Kelly, a New York University real estate professor who spoke to members of the Economic Forum of Palm Beach County today, said he knows he’s bucking conventional beliefs when he dismisses the most dire predictions.

But, he said, a growing GDP and new jobs he believes are coming this year could soften a crash.

“I think forecasts of a crash are navigating out of a rear-view mirror of a recession that is over,” Kelly said inside the Kravis Center. “Demand for use of commercial space remains weak and absorption is negative, but we’re growing in terms of consumption.”

Read More

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Daily Business Review: New task force to target corruption in S. Florida

February 18, 2010

John Gillies, the head of the FBI office in Miami, retells one particular tale of public corruption repeatedly these days. He said it shows how public corruption is often right out in the open for everyone to see.

Speaking to the Economic Forum of Palm Beach County on Wednesday, Gillies said he worked a case in California in which an attorney openly bribed judges and juries. The lawyer even took a jury out to lunch. Gillies later asked the opposing attorney in the case why he didn’t go to law enforcement. The chagrined lawyer said, “I didn’t want to look cheap in front of the jurors.”

Read More

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John Browne on “The Illusion of Sound Finance”

December 29, 2009
John Browne

John Browne, former member of Parliament

Politicians and the media tell us our economy has tiptoed back from the brink of catastrophe and that a recovery is under way. They haven’t convinced John Browne, a former Conservative Member of Parliament under Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher who now writes and lectures on political, economic, financial and defense issues. A Palm Beach County resident and investment advisor, Browne was our November speaker.

“Things were really desperate, and now, suddenly, as if by magic, it seems that everything is all right,” Browne said. But this return to normal is an illusion, he said. “The same behemoth banks are still there, only now they’re larger. The same toxic assets are there, only now they’re hidden.” Meanwhile, consumer confidence has dropped to levels not seen since the 1930s. So to those paying attention, the facts don’t fit the rhetoric.

“In the 1960s, people took acid to make things look weird. Now, we take Prozac to make them look normal,” Browne observed. “So you have to ask yourself, are we being fed political and economic Prozac?”

(more…)

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